引用本文:刘志宏,刘娟.包头市“十二五”能源现状及碳排放影响因素分析——基于灰色关联度分析法[J].环境监控与预警,2017,9(6):14-18
LIU Zhi-hong,LIU Juan.Energy Status and Analysis on Carbon Emission Factors in Baotou City in 12th Five-Year: Based on Grey Relational Analysis[J].Environmental Monitoring and Forewarning,2017,9(6):14-18
【打印本页】   【HTML】   【下载PDF全文】   查看/发表评论  【EndNote】   【RefMan】   【BibTex】
←前一篇|后一篇→ 过刊浏览    高级检索
本文已被:浏览 1178次   下载 742 本文二维码信息
码上扫一扫!
分享到: 微信 更多
包头市“十二五”能源现状及碳排放影响因素分析——基于灰色关联度分析法
刘志宏,刘娟
天津理工大学,环境科学与安全工程学院,天津 300384
摘要:
基于能源消费规模、产业结构和能源结构,对“十二五”期间能源消费现状和包头市经济和环境之间的矛盾进行了分析。依据IPCC推荐的碳排放核算方法,对包头市“十二五”期间的碳排放量进行估算,并利用灰色关联度分析法对影响碳排放的各因素重要程度进行识别。结果表明,能源消费结构、产业结构和单位GDP能耗是包头市能源消费碳排放量的主要影响因素。由于经济结构及历史原因等的制约,包头市以煤炭为主的能源形式短期内较难改变。从优化能源结构、产业结构调整和提高能源利用率、协调经济与环境发展关系等角度探索包头市“十三五”节能减排目标的实现路径。
关键词:  能源消费  碳排放  能源结构  产业结构  灰色关联度分析  减排
DOI:
分类号:TU
文献标识码:B
基金项目:
Energy Status and Analysis on Carbon Emission Factors in Baotou City in 12th Five-Year: Based on Grey Relational Analysis
LIU Zhi-hong,LIU Juan
School of Environmental Science and Safety Engineering, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China
Abstract:
Based on energy consumption scale, industrial structure, and energy structure, the paper analyzes the current situation of energy consumption and the contradiction between economy and environment in Baotou City during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. According to the carbon accounting method recommended by IPCC, the carbon emission in Baotou City during the "12th Five-Year Plan" period is estimated, and the importance degree of carbon emission factors is identified by gray relational analysis. The results show that the energy consumption structure, industrial structure and unit GDP energy consumption are the main influencing factors of energy consumption in Baotou City. Due to the economic structure and historical reasons, Baotou City's coal-dominated energy form is difficult to change in the short term. This paper aims to realize the 13th Five-Year energy - saving emission reduction targets of Baotou, based on the optimizing energy structure, industrial structure adjustment, improving the using efficiency of energy and harmonizing the relations between environment and economy.
Key words:  Energy consumption  Carbon emissions  Energy structure  Industrial structure  Gray relational analysis